New Immigrant Wave Shows Strong Centrist Leanings in Israeli Politics

A recent large-scale survey by Newsru.co.il reveals that the "Pumpkin Aliyah" wave of immigration, comprising those who arrived between 2022 and 2026, holds distinct political and social values that differ significantly from long-time Israeli residents. While their Hebrew proficiency is below average, these new immigrants generally possess high levels of education and erudition. Demographically, they are, on average, twelve years younger than other survey participants, more likely to have higher education, but face more vulnerable financial situations with an average personal income of approximately 11,500 shekels gross and often report financial difficulties.

A notable concentration of this immigrant group, around 37%, has settled in or around Haifa in the north of the country. Furthermore, only 3% have served in the Israel Defense Forces (IDF), and the proportion of pensioners among them is minimal. They tend to observe religious traditions less frequently, are more likely to be single, and encounter more challenges adapting to life in Israel.

Politically, the "Pumpkin Aliyah" leans heavily towards the center, with 44% identifying as centrist, 29% as right-wing, and 11% as left-wing. Unlike established Israelis who may prioritize leadership personalities, these new immigrants reportedly make voting decisions based on party platforms concerning religion, state, economy, and security.

Their preferred political parties include Yisrael Beiteinu (23%), Naftali Bennett's "B'Yachad" (16%), and Yair Golan's "Democratim" movement (13%). The Likud party garners only 9% support from this demographic. Notably, ultra-Orthodox and right-wing religious parties like United Torah Judaism and Shas are largely rejected, with very few supporting their inclusion in a future coalition.