Analyst: Netanyahu's Bloc Benefits as Opposition Fails to Attract Right-Wing Voters
Political commentator Amit Segal has observed a significant narrowing of the gap in recent opinion polls, attributing it to a "perceptual gap" among opposition leaders. In an analysis for 'Israel Hayom,' Segal argues that the "change bloc" has collectively chosen the "wrong side," failing to adapt its human composition and messaging to appeal to softer right-wing voters.
Segal contrasts the current political landscape with past elections, noting that while figures like Avigdor Lieberman maintain their support, Naftali Bennett's current list, featuring secular figures and participants from protest movements, lacks religious representation and differs starkly from his previous platform. He also points to Benny Gantz's "Blue and White" party and Yair Golan as figures who alienate right-wing voters more than previous opposition leaders.
According to Segal, the core issue for the "change bloc" is its inability to genuinely address the core values of right-wing Israelis. He suggests this is why the polls are tightening, citing Ofer Winter's entry into politics as an example of a right-wing, new candidate who has reportedly drawn back coalition voters considering defection. Segal asserts that the "change bloc" lacks attractive options for voters who oppose a Palestinian state, support settlements, and desire judicial reform.
Ultimately, Segal concludes that this dynamic has reshaped the election campaign. Instead of a contest between change and stagnation, it has reverted to a battle between blocs. He suggests Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu would prefer this outcome, while his rivals must reconsider their strategies to reconfigure the political playing field.