Netanyahu's Election Nightmare: Ofer Winter's New Party Threatens Likud Votes

Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu is reportedly concerned about the burgeoning political party led by retired Brigadier General Ofer Winter, "Am Israel," which he views as a significant threat to the Likud's electoral prospects. Netanyahu fears Winter's party could siphon crucial votes from the right-wing bloc, potentially jeopardizing his ability to form a government. This concern stems from Netanyahu's long-standing strategy of consolidating the right-wing vote, a strategy now challenged by Winter's independent candidacy.

Sources close to Netanyahu, including confidant Natan Eshel, have publicly accused Winter of being a proxy for Avigdor Lieberman, suggesting a post-election alliance that would demand key ministerial positions and a rotation in the premiership. However, this narrative is not universally accepted within the Likud. Winter's campaign claims that Likud's attacks only galvanize their support and that their party is attracting voters disillusioned with the ruling party, potentially drawing away hundreds of thousands of votes.

Internal Likud discussions, as reported by Channel 14, reveal a deep dilemma regarding how to handle Winter. Ministers debated whether to attack Winter, potentially alienating voters, or to ignore him, risking his growth. Some Likud figures, like Minister Shlomo Karhi and Minister Zeev Elkin, expressed strong suspicions about Winter's allegiances, linking him to Lieberman and warning he could either benefit the left or drain votes from the right. Others, like Erezi Tadmor, suggested Winter might even bring in new voters from outside the traditional right-wing base, cautioning against aggressive tactics.

Despite intense pressure from Netanyahu's camp, including offers to integrate Winter and his associates into other parties, Winter has remained steadfast in his decision to run independently. His party, described as far-right, advocates for decisive action, the emigration of Palestinians from Gaza, and governmental reform. "Am Israel" claims to be polling at six mandates and vows to grow stronger in response to attacks.

Netanyahu has pledged to address the Winter issue promptly, with further consultations planned. The strategy may shift if internal polling indicates Winter is also drawing support from centrist or left-leaning voters, potentially prompting Netanyahu to cease attacks.