Likud Debates Strategy on Ofer Winter Amid Election Concerns

The Likud party is internally debating its strategy regarding Ofer Winter, with some factions considering a shift from attacking him to viewing him as a potential asset against rival Gadi Eisenkot. While some within Likud still believe Winter's candidacy could siphon votes away from the party, a growing sentiment suggests that his presence might ultimately benefit Likud more than harm it. A senior Likud official reportedly stated, "Likud is wrong about Winter. Winter is the asset."

The "Amcha Israel" party, which Winter is associated with, claims the attacks from Likud stem from fear of losing votes to them. They assert that their 94 campaign offices nationwide are seeing a surge of young and diverse voters, positioning "Amcha Israel" as a potential surprise in the upcoming elections. The party stated, "The fear in Likud of votes transferring to Amcha Israel is clear. It is not for nothing that Likud chased to reserve the senior officials of the Amcha Israel party until the last moment and failed."

Supporters of a strategic shift argue that Winter, perceived as a security figure and a right-wing individual not directly aligned with Likud, offers effective criticism of Eisenkot that resonates with voters. They believe Winter could appeal to disillusioned Likud voters who might otherwise abstain or vote for other parties, potentially preventing them from moving away from the right-wing bloc. Some within Likud are confident Winter will surpass the electoral threshold independently, potentially becoming an election surprise.

This debate occurs against a backdrop of broader Likud concerns about voter turnout. The party acknowledges high motivation among those opposing Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, while identifying a key demographic of "Still Bibi" voters. These are voters who may have criticisms or disappointments but are expected to vote Likud if they turn out, though their commitment to voting is uncertain. The primary challenge, according to Likud insiders, is mobilizing these voters to reach the ballot boxes.

Likud strategists emphasize the importance of grassroots organizing and direct voter engagement to boost turnout, particularly for those already leaning towards the party. Internal party activities, such as the upcoming party conference and future leadership contests, are seen as opportunities for Knesset members and officials to strengthen ties with activists and demonstrate their support base. Prime Minister Netanyahu's direct appeals to right-wing audiences, including appearances on Channel 14, are also viewed as efforts to energize the base and encourage voting.