Micron Stock Surges as HBM Memory Demand Extends to 2027
Micron Technology's stock saw a significant rise in pre-market trading on Friday, capping a strong week with a 2.7% increase over the past five days. This surge coincided with a broader market recovery, buoyed by falling bond yields that benefited tech stocks. Micron's stock has experienced an exceptional year, trading around $958 and boasting a market capitalization of approximately $1.08 trillion, a more than 700% jump within a year, placing it among the world's top 15 most valuable companies. The company surpassed $1 trillion in market cap in late July, with its all-time closing high set on June 25th at $1,213.
The company's impressive performance is largely driven by its financial reports. In the third quarter of fiscal year 2026, Micron exceeded expectations, reporting revenues of $41.46 billion, a substantial increase from $23.86 billion in the previous quarter and $9.3 billion in the same quarter last year. Gross profit margins were robust at 84.6% GAAP and 84.9% non-GAAP, with non-GAAP earnings per share reaching $25.11. The company also generated $25.39 billion in cash flow from operations.
Key to these results is the demand for High Bandwidth Memory (HBM), a type of stacked DRAM crucial for AI accelerators. Micron announced that its production capacity for HBM3E and HBM4 is fully booked through the end of 2027, with demand extending into 2028. The HBM4 generation is already shipping in high volumes to its leading customer, and validation samples have been sent to others. The next iteration, HBM4E, is slated for mass production in 2027. This limited supply has led to concerns that memory shortages could impede the launch of AI chips.
The impact of this memory boom is widespread. Contract prices for standard DRAM have surged significantly in recent quarters, and NAND prices have also climbed. While price increases are moderating slightly in the current quarter, research firm TrendForce anticipates continued growth in server DRAM contract prices through the second half of 2027. This trend directly impacts data center operators, as manufacturers prioritize HBM and server memory production over components for PCs and smartphones, leading to increased cloud provider procurement budgets.
In Israel, the effects are felt through metrology and testing equipment manufacturers serving the memory industry. Companies like Camtek and Nova have reported record revenues, with a significant portion of their business linked to advanced packaging technologies essential for stacked memory chips. Camtek noted that over 20% of its orders since the start of 2026 came from HBM clients, and about 75% of its second-quarter revenue was from advanced packaging.
Looking ahead, the market is pricing in aggressive growth for Micron, and the company's upcoming report on September 30th will be closely watched to see if it meets or exceeds these high expectations. Potential risks include future overcapacity from new investments and the advancement of Chinese memory manufacturers.