A new Kan News poll published Tuesday shows Likud losing one seat compared with the previous survey, following the announcement of a U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding. At the same time, Yesh Atid rises by four seats and opens a lead over Bennett’s party, which drops by six. The current coalition bloc as a whole also falls by one seat, after the Religious Zionist Party crosses the electoral threshold for the first time. If the Arab parties run on a joint list, the coalition would lose one more seat.
The poll also shows Yisrael Beytenu gaining two seats, while Otzma Yehudit loses one. The Democrats remains unchanged. Shas and Hadash-Ta’al each gain one seat. Religious Zionism, which had already moved above the threshold in the previous poll, is still at four seats. Blue and White, the Reservists Party, and Balad do not cross the threshold, with 1.6%, 2.6%, and 1.5% respectively.
On the question of who is best suited to serve as prime minister, Netanyahu remains the top choice among all respondents, compared with Naftali Bennett, Gadi Eisenkot, and Avigdor Lieberman. Among opposition voters, however, most prefer Eisenkot to lead the bloc, 44% to Bennett’s 36%.
The poll found only 18% support for the U.S.-Iran deal and 55% opposition. Even after Operation “Roar of the Lion” and the agreement, 70% still say they fear the Iranian threat. Asked about their sense of security nearly three years after October 7, only 26% said they feel safer, while 39% said they feel less safe.
The survey also found that 40% still believe Donald Trump will be seen as a “great friend of Israel” despite the deal, while 32% think his standing toward Israel will change and the rest are unsure. Among Likud voters, 30% support canceling the party primaries, compared with 24% who oppose doing so.
