Opposition Bloc Led by Eisenkot Holds 57 Seats as Winter's Party Fails to Cross Threshold

A new Channel 13 poll reveals significant shifts in Israel's political landscape if elections were held today. The "Yashar" party led by Benny Gantz ally Gadi Eisenkot would secure 24 seats, a slight drop from the previous poll. Likud, headed by Benjamin Netanyahu, falls sharply to 19 seats from 23 last week. Naftali Bennett's party remains steady at 13 seats, while the Democratic camp under Yair Golan gains 11 seats. The Joint Arab List rises to 10 seats, and Avigdor Lieberman's Yisrael Beiteinu holds 9 seats. Otzma Yehudit, United Torah Judaism, and Shas each maintain 8 seats. Religious Zionism and Ra'am both hold 5 seats.

Newly launched "Amcha Israel" party led by Ofer Winter fails to pass the electoral threshold, similar to other smaller parties including Trooper, Blue and White, Feiglin, and the Unity party of Amir Ohana. The opposition bloc, led by Eisenkot, commands 57 seats, while Netanyahu's coalition holds only 48. Arab parties collectively increase to 15 seats.

In a scenario of party mergers, a large alliance of Eisenkot, Bennett, and Trooper would gain 36 seats, reducing Likud to 17 and the Joint Arab List to 9. A union of Winter and Smotrich, favored by Netanyahu, would secure 7 seats, while Ra'am and Segalovitz would have 5. A merger of Gantz, Ohana, and Ayelet Shaked would fail to cross the threshold. Under this scenario, the opposition bloc would have 56 seats, Netanyahu's bloc 50, and Arab parties 14.

Regarding prime minister preferences, Eisenkot leads with 46%, Netanyahu follows with 35%, and 19% are undecided. The poll was conducted by HaMidad with partners Stat-Net, HaMidgam Project, and Askria, surveying 1,407 respondents with a 3.4% margin of error.