Trump’s Iran Policy Leaves Israel Facing More Uncertainty

Donald Trump has tried to present himself as a leader of strength, deterrence, and hard bargaining, but in the Iranian arena he is increasingly portrayed as producing the opposite: more instability, embarrassed allies, and diplomacy reduced to statements and media moves. The column says recent events show him alternating between restraint, claims that a deal with Tehran is near, and renewed military escalation in which Israel and Iran continue striking each other.

The article says the core problem is not only rhetorical but political. The White House is operating while Congress has begun challenging the scope of the war powers Trump claimed for himself, and some moves were designed to curb his freedom of action against Iran. Trump’s team says it has held talks with Tehran and presents them as a way to stabilize the Strait of Hormuz and build a new regional arrangement, but fighting continues, ceasefires remain fragile, and the messages sent to partners are inconsistent.

The writer argues that Israel is not being abandoned diplomatically, but is being pushed into the role of a variable inside a U.S. strategy driven by Washington’s tactical needs. After October 7, Israel has increasingly adopted a doctrine of prevention through crushing force, with repeated strikes, expanded targets, less strategic patience, and a growing willingness to take risks even if they create open tensions with Washington. The article also notes Israel’s advanced military and intelligence capabilities, and says this continuity is reflected in the future appointment of Roman Gofman to head the Mossad, scheduled for June 2026.

Iran, the column says, has been hit but not neutralized. It has suffered strikes and some setbacks, yet retained enough strength to remain a central player, which makes it dangerous because it survived humiliation. The article concludes that Israel cannot rely entirely on American political shifts, and should strengthen independent doctrine, intelligence depth, and decision-making chains while preparing for the next round. Russia, China, and Europe are said to be watching for signs of Western weakness, and Trump may be remembered not as the man who bent Tehran, but as one who deepened confusion.