Israel’s Opposition Faces Internal Divisions That Could Aid Netanyahu’s Return

As Israel approaches its October 28 elections, the opposition bloc aiming to unseat Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu appears optimistic but faces critical internal challenges. Polls currently favor the opposition, with experienced and energetic candidates and resonant messaging. However, the main threat to their success is their own lack of unity, particularly the absence of a clear agreement to back the largest party leader as prime minister after the vote. This strategic failure risks splitting the bloc’s mandate and potentially handing Netanyahu another chance to form a government despite his weakened position.

Former military chief Gadi Eizenkot has emerged as a leading figure within the opposition, surpassing other candidates like Naftali Bennett and Avigdor Lieberman in recent polls. Eizenkot’s appeal even extends to some Netanyahu voters, making him a pivotal player. Yet, the opposition’s failure to publicly commit to unified leadership could lead to a fragmented recommendation to the president, complicating government formation. Netanyahu, who currently lacks energy, clear messaging, and strong candidates, could exploit such divisions by courting defectors and offering unprecedented concessions to cling to power.

The article highlights the volatile nature of the electorate supporting the opposition, who have shifted allegiances among various leaders since the last election. It stresses the urgency for opposition leaders to declare unequivocal support for a single leader to avoid chaos post-election. The piece also critiques Netanyahu’s weakened campaign, noting his inability to attract prominent candidates and the fading influence of former allies like Donald Trump.

Beyond electoral politics, the article addresses security concerns in the West Bank, focusing on rising Jewish settler violence and the challenges faced by Israeli security forces. It underscores the complex dynamics between military efforts to control extremist settlers and political decisions that simultaneously support settlement expansion. The piece warns that unchecked settler violence risks damaging Israel’s international alliances and the broader Zionist project.

In conclusion, the article calls for decisive leadership within the opposition to prevent Netanyahu’s return and to begin the necessary national recovery. It portrays the current political landscape as fraught with risk, where internal opposition discord could undermine the chance for change and stability in Israel.