Ben Gvir's Rise Challenges Right-Wing Bloc Dynamics Ahead of 2026 Elections

Political analyst Moran Shmueloff examines the growing influence of Itamar Ben Gvir and his party Otzma Yehudit within Israel's right-wing bloc. While Ben Gvir's clear political brand centered on security, governance, and Jewish identity strengthens his party's polling numbers, a key dilemma emerges: whether Otzma Yehudit's growth comes at the expense of the entire right-wing bloc or solely from the Likud party.

Shmueloff highlights that Ben Gvir's challenge is not just to increase his party's Knesset seats but to broaden his support base without disrupting the balance of power within the right-wing alliance. She also discusses his consistent refusal to form political alliances with other right-wing figures like Bezalel Smotrich and Moshe Feiglin, questioning if this stance is a strategic move to establish Otzma Yehudit as an independent right-wing party or rooted in deep personal and political rifts, possibly driven by ego.

Looking ahead to the 2026 elections, the main question is not only how many seats Ben Gvir will secure but how his rise will affect the right-wing bloc's overall ability to form the next government. The analysis underscores the complex interplay between individual party growth and coalition dynamics in Israel's political landscape.