Likud C14 Primaries Trigger Intense Battle for Knesset Seats Amid Risk of Incumbent Ouster

The ongoing Likud primaries conducted by C14 have created a tense political scenario for several incumbent Knesset members, with a fierce competition emerging for realistic list positions. Current data reveals a close race, particularly for candidates ranked 30th and below, who face a genuine threat of losing their seats in the next Knesset, sparking a survival struggle within the party.

Among those in the danger zone, Eti Atiya, Tzaga Malko, and Moshe Pasal each hold around 30% support, while Eli Dalal has 29%. Nissim Vaturi, Idit Silman, and Keti Shitrit each have 28%, and Eliyahu Revivo is at 20%. Shashi Guetta, ranked 29th with 30% support, currently marks the upper boundary of the risk zone, placing his political future in a precarious position.

This dynamic reflects an intense internal power struggle within Likud, where every percentage point of support is critical in determining which incumbents will retain their Knesset seats. The volatility in the "twilight zone" of the list underscores the challenges incumbents face amid shifting voter patterns among party members.

The primaries website allows voters to build their preferred Likud team through a simple three-step process, including selecting national candidates, preferred district candidates, and new female candidates to join the list. Voting is free, fast, and transparent, with real-time updates enabling the public to influence the party's candidate lineup ahead of the official results.

The outcome of these primaries will significantly reshape the Likud faction in the 2026 Knesset, as incumbents fight to secure their political survival in a highly competitive environment.