Senior Analyst Explains Iran Attack: Trump Realizes Reality and Loses Composure

Professor Uzi Rabi, a senior researcher, discussed the recent escalation between Tehran and Washington in a July 9, 2026 interview on 103FM radio. He explained that Iran’s goal in negotiations with the US is to solidify gains they perceive themselves to have achieved, aiming for an ambiguous agreement that can be interpreted in multiple ways. Rabi noted that while the US seeks a conclusive end to conflict with tangible achievements, Iran wants a deal that ultimately strengthens its position.

Rabi criticized former President Donald Trump’s approach, saying Trump initially believed that increasing pressure and strikes on Iran would force Iranian capitulation. However, Trump has come to realize that Iran’s responses contradict expectations, causing him to lose composure. The analyst ruled out the possibility of a permanent, mutually accepted agreement between the US and Iran, calling it unrealistic given the current political climate.

He highlighted Iran’s strategic focus on the Strait of Hormuz as a key leverage point, since it provides Tehran with a unique and ongoing source of influence independent of sanctions relief. Iran views the movement of oil tankers through the Omani route as a violation of agreements and uses the Hormuz issue to overshadow nuclear discussions. Rabi emphasized that Iran is not ready to give up its nuclear program and is instead elevating the Hormuz crisis as a central issue.

Concluding, Rabi predicted continued reciprocal attacks and ongoing talks that will remain complicated. He stressed that the core problem is the Iranian regime itself, which Trump is beginning to understand cannot be easily negotiated with. Rabi suggested that the free world must focus on weakening the regime’s foundations, targeting key individuals and strategic assets to undermine its stability. The situation remains complex, and future developments are uncertain.