US Expert Explains Why Trump Hesitates to Attack Iran Amid Hormuz Tensions

Gideon Israel, president of the Jerusalem-Washington Center, analyzed President Donald Trump's strategy toward Iran in a recent interview on Channel 14's "Midday Journal." Israel explained that despite ongoing tensions in the Strait of Hormuz and recent temporary understanding agreements, Trump's approach remains steady and primarily driven by domestic political considerations ahead of the US midterm elections.

Israel emphasized that much of the media coverage about US-Iran relations consists of "background noise," with the core US policy focused on maintaining the status quo. Trump signed a limited 60-day understanding document aiming to manage both negotiations and confrontations with Iran until after the elections. Israel said, "The main point is to reach the elections with a strong economy and a Republican victory, then decide on Iran policy afterward."

Regarding reported gaps between the US and Iran in negotiations, Israel downplayed their significance, noting that such gaps are typical and fluctuate. He highlighted that the real indicator is whether oil tankers continue to pass freely through the Strait of Hormuz without incident.

The discussion also addressed recent Iranian propaganda threatening Trump personally, including images targeting him with a rifle scope. Israel stated firmly that Trump is unfazed by such threats, recalling past assassination attempts, and warned that underestimating Trump's response would be a mistake.

Finally, Israel noted Trump's focus on domestic affairs and the upcoming 250th anniversary of the United States, which the president views as a significant milestone coinciding with his term. The celebrations provide Trump an opportunity to promote a narrative of a strong, united America, reinforcing his political standing both domestically and internationally.