Poll Shows Opposition Voters Most Concerned About Election Outcomes

A new poll conducted by political consultant Yossi Tatiqa, owner of Tatiqa Research and Media, in collaboration with the Adgenda panel led by Roi Schindler, reveals significant concern among opposition voters regarding potential election results. The survey, conducted on September 30 and October 1, 2026, with 500 Jewish and Arab respondents, indicates that 88% of opposition voters are worried about the emerging outcomes. This contrasts with coalition voters, where 73% expressed strong concern and 15% slight concern.

Overall, 62.8% of all respondents are very concerned, 17.8% are somewhat concerned, and 15.6% are not concerned about the potential election results. Among supporters of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, 48% are very concerned and 21.5% are somewhat concerned, while 72.67% of those who oppose Netanyahu are very concerned and 15.33% are somewhat concerned.

The heightened anxiety among opposition voters stems from recent polls showing a weakening of the "change bloc" and a strengthening of the Joint List and Ra'am. Simultaneously, the bloc supporting Prime Minister Netanyahu is projected to gain seats, partly due to the entry of the Am Israel party into the race. Adding to the opposition's challenges, leaders of the change bloc are reportedly refusing to form a coalition with Ra'am or the Joint List, limiting their options for forming a government.

The poll also projects seat allocations if elections were held today. Gadi Eisenkot's Yishar! party and the Likud party are tied at 21 seats each. Naftali Bennett's Tikva Hadasha party has fallen to a new low of 10 seats. The Netanyahu-supporting bloc is projected to receive 53 seats, the change bloc plus the Reservists-Economic party 54 seats, and Arab parties a combined 13 seats. Several smaller right-wing parties, including Otzma Yehudit (6 seats), Religious Zionism (5 seats), and Am Israel (4 seats), are expected to pass the electoral threshold.