Yaron Zelekha's Claim About Falling Housing Prices Debunked
A recent claim by Yaron Zelekha, a candidate in the upcoming elections, that the years he served as Accountant General were the only period during which housing prices in Israel fell has been found to be largely inaccurate. Zelekha served as Accountant General in the Ministry of Finance from 2003 to 2007. While housing prices did see some annual decreases during his tenure, notably in 2003, 2004, and 2006, these were not the only periods of decline.
Data from the Central Bureau of Statistics shows that housing prices also fell in the four years preceding Zelekha's term, from 1999 to 2002. Furthermore, during Zelekha's time in office, prices actually increased in 2005 and 2007. When considering the entire period from his entry into office in late 2003 to his departure in late 2007, the housing price index rose by 0.8% overall.
Zelekha's office later clarified that he was referring to housing prices relative to income. While some data provided by his team suggested this, the sources could not be independently verified, and the numbers found in official sources differed. An examination of housing prices relative to household income by the Central Bureau of Statistics indicated a decrease of 3.4% by the end of Zelekha's term compared to when he started. However, this was also not a unique period of decline, as there were three consecutive years of decrease between 1999 and 2001.
Overall, the analysis concludes that Zelekha's statement is incorrect. Housing prices experienced a downward trend between 1997 and 2007, a period that encompassed Zelekha's tenure but also preceded it significantly. The article attributes these fluctuations to cyclical market behavior influenced by demand factors like demographics, income, and interest rates, interacting with a relatively inelastic supply.
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