Opposition Bloc Plans Knesset Control After Elections

Leaders of Israel's "Change Bloc" opposition coalition met recently to strategize for controlling the Knesset immediately following the upcoming elections, aiming to establish a new government. Their primary objective is to seize control of the Knesset's agenda and legislative process by electing a new Knesset Speaker, replacing the current Likud party's Amir Ohana. This move is seen as a crucial first step to neutralize the outgoing coalition's power and prevent Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu from dictating the political and legislative agenda.

The plan involves leveraging the transition period between election day and the formation of a new government. According to Knesset Member Ahmad Tibi, Arab parties will support the opposition's candidate for Speaker and take further action to replace the current government. Tibi stated, "The story is over. This is complete control of the Knesset."

Controlling the Knesset Speaker position grants significant power over the legislative agenda, including deciding which bills are brought to a vote and when. This could allow the Change Bloc to advance key legislation, such as a bill barring individuals indicted for crimes from forming a government, establishing an inquiry committee for the October 7th events, or even a bill to dissolve the Knesset if a new government cannot be formed. The Speaker can also expedite political processes to prevent a caretaker government from delaying actions.

Furthermore, the opposition aims to control Knesset committees, particularly the Arrangements Committee, which determines the composition of other temporary committees. Gaining a majority on these committees would give the opposition control over the legislative pace, allowing them to advance their own bills and block the outgoing coalition's initiatives. They could also potentially block budgets and government actions, effectively cutting off funding for the caretaker government.

However, the current coalition, led by Netanyahu, has countermeasures. The incumbent Speaker, Amir Ohana, can use his authority to delay votes on his replacement and employ filibustering tactics. The coalition may also appeal to the Supreme Court, arguing that significant changes during a caretaker period violate constitutional norms. They plan to delegitimize the opposition's moves, particularly by highlighting their reliance on Arab party support. Historical precedents show intense political battles over Knesset leadership and committee control, involving resignations, Supreme Court appeals, and prolonged parliamentary deadlock.