Poll Shows Israelis and Palestinians Losing Faith in Peace Prospects

A new survey by the Pew Research Center reveals a significant decline in optimism regarding peaceful coexistence between Israelis and Palestinians. The study found that a majority of both groups now believe a peaceful resolution is impossible. Among Israelis, only 17% expressed belief in the possibility of peaceful coexistence, while 56% disagreed. For Palestinians in the West Bank and East Jerusalem, 21% saw a path to peace, contrasted with 68% who deemed it unattainable. This marks the lowest level of Israeli optimism in over a decade of Pew polling, with more than half expressing disbelief in coexistence for the first time in 2026. The survey interviewed 1,001 Israelis and 1,038 Palestinians in the West Bank and East Jerusalem between March 30 and May 6, 2024. Gaza was excluded due to fieldwork limitations.

Within Israel, the sentiment varies. Among Israeli Jews, 16% believe a two-state solution is possible, while 64% do not. Israeli Arabs showed a more divided response, with 23% seeing hope for coexistence, 26% viewing it as impossible, and 46% undecided or unwilling to answer. Those who still believe in peace often cited the need for compromise, trust-building, and a shared desire for stability. Some Israelis emphasized learning to live together, while some Palestinians highlighted potential economic and social benefits, recalling less tense periods in the past.

Key obstacles to peace identified by respondents include territorial disputes and security concerns. Israelis opposing a Palestinian state frequently cited fears of a future independent Palestinian state possessing military capabilities near their borders. Palestinians pointed to Israeli control over the West Bank and East Jerusalem, settlement activity, and checkpoints as major impediments to daily life and movement. The recent conflict, particularly the October 7th attack and subsequent war, has significantly eroded trust. Many Israelis expressed a loss of faith in the two-state solution following the attack, while Palestinians cited casualties, destruction, and personal losses as reasons for their pessimism. Underlying these views is a deep mutual distrust, with many believing the other side is unwilling to accept their national rights or harbors violent intentions. However, only a small fraction of respondents attributed the lack of progress primarily to political leaders, with some suggesting that changes in government or policy could alter future prospects.