Israeli Political Bloc Faces Internal Power Struggle Amidst Unity Facade

The "Change Bloc" of Israeli political parties is projecting an image of unity ahead of the upcoming elections, with coordinated messaging and even a shared WhatsApp group for campaign managers. However, beneath this surface of cooperation, significant tensions and rivalries are brewing.

Key figures like Avigdor Lieberman are reportedly wary of potential "attacks" from within the bloc, particularly from Yair Golan, and are hesitant to appear in joint photos. Lieberman is said to be uncomfortable with the forced partnership and its potential impact on his right-wing base.

More substantial friction exists between Yair Lapid and Gadi Eisenkot, stemming from a failed political alliance in 2022. Eisenkot had previously agreed to join Lapid's Yesh Atid party, even shaking hands on a deal for a high position on the list, but ultimately chose to join Benny Gantz's National Unity party. Lapid, who values loyalty, has not forgotten this perceived betrayal.

Adding to the internal conflict, a recent wave of media commentary suggesting Lapid should step down has fueled suspicions within Yesh Atid that Eisenkot and his associates are orchestrating this narrative to bolster Eisenkot's own standing. This is particularly concerning as polls indicate a significant portion of former Yesh Atid voters have shifted to Eisenkot.

The underlying battle within the bloc is not just about winning the election, but about who will emerge as the dominant force if the bloc secures a majority. The distribution of mandates could drastically alter the balance of power, potentially leading to a rotation agreement for the premiership or positioning Eisenkot, Bennett, or Lieberman to claim the top job, with the defense portfolio as a fallback. The outcome of the election on October 28th will not only determine which bloc wins but also who leads within the victorious bloc.