Poll Shows Record Gap Against Netanyahu, Winter Passes Electoral Threshold

A new Friday Studio poll conducted 60 days before the Israeli elections reveals a historic 27% gap in public opinion regarding Benjamin Netanyahu's suitability as prime minister. According to the survey, 59% of respondents do not want Netanyahu to be the next prime minister, while only about a third support him. This sentiment is reflected in the political blocs, with half of the voters backing parties opposed to Netanyahu, compared to just 31% supporting his bloc.

The poll also highlights the rise of Ofir Winter's new party, which crosses the electoral threshold with 4% of the vote, translating to approximately six Knesset seats. Meanwhile, the so-called "third bloc," including parties led by Hili Tropper, Gilad Erdan, and Benny Gantz, fails to pass the threshold, garnering only 5% support.

Regarding the Ministry of Public Security, 29% of respondents prefer Itamar Ben-Gvir as the next minister, followed by 21% for Yoav Segalovitz. However, the planned alliance between Segalovitz and Mansour Abbas appears unpopular nationally. Among Arab voters, Segalovitz leads with 45%, Ben-Gvir receives no support, and 41% believe neither candidate is suitable.

The education system receives a harsh evaluation, with 68% rating it poorly ahead of the new school year, including 47% of Netanyahu bloc voters. When asked who would better manage education, 50% favor a government led by Gadi Eisenkot over one led by Netanyahu, who receives only 25% support on this issue.

The poll also questions the future of Education Minister Yoav Kish, with 63% opposing his continuation in the role, including 40% of Netanyahu bloc voters. Only 12% overall support his remaining in office.

The survey was conducted by Manu Geva from the Midgam Institute in cooperation with iPanel and is the first to assess the political landscape following Winter's party launch.