Iran Uses Ceasefire to Rebuild Missile Arsenal and Prepare for Potential Escalation

A security source told N12 that Iran is exploiting the current ceasefire to restore its ballistic missile production capabilities. Tehran is focusing on manufacturing inexpensive, liquid-fueled missiles that are simpler to produce and operate compared to more advanced solid-fueled or cluster warhead missiles. The source noted that Iran is not deterred by the risk of renewed conflict and is prepared to escalate if necessary.

In parallel, Iran is rapidly expanding its nuclear site at Mount Makuh, intending to relocate uranium enrichment activities there. Estimates suggest Iran currently possesses over 1,000 missiles capable of reaching Israel, alongside a larger stockpile of shorter-range missiles. Iran is also strengthening its proxy forces, particularly the Houthis in Yemen, who have enhanced their military capabilities to threaten maritime routes such as the Bab al-Mandeb Strait.

The Iranian strategy aims to counter the U.S. approach under former President Donald Trump, which sought to impose a continuous economic and military blockade on Iran. Tehran’s message is a reciprocal blockade targeting strategic waterways including the Strait of Hormuz and Bab al-Mandeb. The source warned that if regional countries adapt to these closures, Iran may intensify its campaign, showing no fear of entering another conflict.

Iran continues to support its proxies, including Hezbollah and Shiite militias in Iraq, pressuring Baghdad to halt militia disarmament efforts. The security source emphasized that Iran will not remain passive amid economic strangulation attempts and may escalate to active hostilities if it deems the pressure ineffective. Initial targets in such a scenario could include neighboring countries like Jordan, with Israel potentially targeted subsequently.