FIFA Considers Expanding World Cup to 64 Teams, Boosting Israel's Qualification Chances

FIFA President Gianni Infantino is advancing the idea of expanding the World Cup from 48 to 64 teams, a move that could significantly impact Israel's chances of qualifying for the tournament. The current 48-team format, first used in the 2026 World Cup, has been praised for its excitement and high average goals per game, but Infantino argues that including more nations will give smaller countries greater incentive to improve and dream of World Cup participation.

The proposal to expand to 64 teams was initially suggested by South American Football Confederation President Alejandro Domínguez in 2025, primarily to allow Argentina, Uruguay, and Paraguay to host more matches during the 2030 World Cup centenary celebrations. While originally presented as a one-time solution, FIFA's appetite for expansion suggests the process may continue. However, UEFA and other opponents, including player organizations, criticize the plan, citing concerns over diluting qualification matches, extending the tournament schedule, and increasing player fatigue.

FIFA is expected to decide on the expansion soon to plan qualification formats, with a vote likely coinciding with the 2027 FIFA presidential elections. Infantino, who enjoys strong support from African and South American federations, is favored to win again. The financial success of the 2026 World Cup, generating around $10 billion, has bolstered his position.

If the expansion proceeds, Europe is expected to gain additional slots beyond the current 16, potentially increasing to 20 or 24 teams. This would enhance Israel's chances of qualifying, given Europe's dominance in recent tournaments and the relatively small increase Europe received in the last expansion. The 64-team format could return to a simpler group stage structure with 16 groups of four teams, improving competitive fairness despite a longer tournament and potentially lower average match quality.

While the proposal faces resistance from UEFA, Asian, and North/Central American federations, FIFA's decision will depend on internal votes and political dynamics. Infantino may be testing the waters with this idea, as previous radical proposals like a biennial World Cup have been quickly abandoned. The football world awaits FIFA's next steps regarding the tournament's future size and format.