Senior Analyst Warns of Regional Threats to Israel from Turkey and Iran's Strategic Moves

Senior Middle East analyst Yoni Ben Menachem warned on Channel 14 that the current regional conflict is not primarily about Iran's nuclear program, but rather control over critical trade routes and dangerous diplomatic maneuvers by Turkey in Lebanon. Speaking on the Friday edition of "Israel Morning" with Shira Kai Cohen, Ben Menachem outlined a complex strategic situation involving the United States, Iran, and Turkey, with Israel potentially the biggest loser.

Ben Menachem explained that the main struggle between the US and Iran centers on dominance over the Strait of Hormuz, a vital maritime chokepoint, rather than nuclear issues. He predicted a prolonged "cat and mouse" conflict lasting until the US midterm elections in November, involving intermittent attacks on ships and measured American responses, without decisive resolution.

Regarding Turkey, Ben Menachem highlighted a troubling scenario where Ankara aims to establish a new Sunni regional axis threatening Israel. Turkey seeks to create a Lebanese extension under its influence, effectively establishing a Turkish border adjacent to Israel in Lebanon, posing a significant strategic danger. He criticized former US President Donald Trump's affinity for Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, warning that Trump's policies risk compromising Israeli security.

Ben Menachem emphasized that the shifting US interests, including attempts to bring Syria under a Turkish-backed "new Lebanon" sphere of influence, endanger Israel's security depth. He urged Israeli decision-makers to adopt a firmer stance with Washington, clearly marking these developments as a strategic red line.

The analyst's remarks underscore the intricate geopolitical challenges Israel faces amid evolving US-Iran-Turkey relations and the need for vigilant Israeli policy adjustments to safeguard national security.