Majority of Israelis Fear Another Security Failure and Support State Inquiry Into October 7 Attacks

On the 1,000th day since the October 7 attacks, Israeli public opinion remains divided on the country's security situation. A recent Channel 12 poll found that one-third of respondents believe Israel's security has improved since then, another third feel it has worsened, and 20% see no change. Despite this division, 74% of the public expressed concern about the possibility of another security failure similar to the October 7 events, including 66% of coalition voters.

Regarding the establishment of a state-appointed commission of inquiry into the October 7 attacks, 66% of Israelis support the move, while 25% oppose it. Over half of respondents (53%) said the security failure would influence their vote in the next election, compared to 37% who said it would not affect their choice.

The poll also revealed strong public backing for drafting ultra-Orthodox Jews into the military, with 69% in favor except for a limited number of Torah scholars, and 19% opposed. Among coalition voters, the potential impact of MK Tali Gottlieb’s placement on the Likud list was mixed: 32% said they would not vote for Likud regardless, 22% said it would not change their vote, 20% said they would vote for Likud anyway, and 15% said her high placement would increase their likelihood of voting for the party.

On the preferred candidate for prime minister, 55% of respondents favored someone other than Benjamin Netanyahu, while 34% viewed Netanyahu as the best choice. Additionally, 60% intend to vote for the same bloc as in the previous election, 7% of former coalition voters plan to switch to opposition parties, and 32% either do not intend to vote or did not vote previously.