Poll Marking 1,000 Days Since October 7 Finds Public Still Fears Another Failure

A new Channel 12 "Ulpan Shishi" poll, published June 26, 2026, shows Israelis divided over whether the country’s security situation has changed since the October 7 war began, on the eve of 1,000 days since the attacks. Thirty-three percent said the security situation has worsened, 33% said it has improved, and 20% said nothing has changed.

The survey also found widespread anxiety about another security collapse. Seventy-four percent said they fear a similar failure could happen again in the future, while 20% said they do not. Even among coalition voters, 66% said they fear another massacre. On establishing a state commission of inquiry into October 7, 66% backed the move and 25% opposed it, with the panel described as one to be appointed by the president of the Supreme Court under the law.

More than half of respondents, 53%, said the October 7 failure will affect how they vote in the next election, while 37% said it will not. On ultra-Orthodox enlistment, 69% supported drafting Haredim into the IDF, except for a limited number of Torah scholars, and 19% opposed it.

The poll also tested political attitudes around Likud MK Tali גוטליב. Among coalition voters, 32% said they would not vote Likud anyway, 22% said her placement would not affect them, 20% said they would vote Likud regardless, 15% said a high placement would increase the chance they vote Likud, and 2% said it would reduce that chance. In the race for prime minister, 55% preferred another candidate over Benjamin Netanyahu, while 34% said he is the most suitable.

Overall, 60% said they plan to vote for the same bloc as in the previous election. Seven percent of previous coalition voters said they will switch to an opposition party, and 32% said they do not plan to vote or did not vote last time. The article also cites separate Channel 12 seat polling showing Likud at 23 seats, Benny Gantz’s Blue and White at 1.8% below the threshold, and the coalition at 52 seats versus 68 for the opposition bloc including Arab parties.