Netherlands Favored to Take Major Step Toward the Knockout Stage

The Netherlands will try to move closer to the next round at the 2026 World Cup when it faces Sweden on Saturday at 20:00, after opening with a dramatic 2-2 draw against Japan. Dutch media say a win would put Ronald Koeman’s side in an almost certain position to advance, and betting markets also heavily back the Oranje.

Citing FIFA’s supercomputer, the article says a Dutch victory would be enough in 99.8% of scenarios to reach the next stage, at least from third place. The Dutch are described as the clear favorites, with bookmakers offering low odds on them.

The head-to-head record also favors the Netherlands. In seven meetings this century, the Oranje have won three times and drawn three times, while Sweden’s last victory came in Euro 2012 qualifying in 2011.

Both teams are expected to keep largely the same lineups from their first matches. The Netherlands should again start the attacking trio of Cody Gakpo, Crysencio Summerville and Donyell Malen, with no major defensive changes expected. Sweden, after a big win over Tunisia, are also likely to stick with Viktor Gyokeres and Alexander Isak up front.