Netherlands Favored to Take a Big Step Toward the World Cup Knockout Stage

The Netherlands will try to move closer to the next round of the 2026 World Cup when they face Sweden on Saturday at 20:00, after opening with a dramatic 2-2 draw against Japan. Dutch media say a win would make qualification almost certain, and according to FIFA’s supercomputer, a Netherlands victory would be enough in 99.8% of cases to advance, at least from third place.

Betting markets also see the Oranje as clear favorites, with very short odds. The head-to-head record in the 21st century leans toward Ronald Koeman’s side, which has won three of seven meetings and drawn three more. Sweden’s last win over the Dutch came in the 2011 Euro qualifying campaign.

Neither team is expected to make major changes from its opening match lineup. The Netherlands are likely to keep their attacking trio of Cody Gakpo, Krensciso Summerville and Donyell Malen, with no major defensive adjustments expected.

Sweden, who celebrated heavily after beating Tunisia, are also expected to stick with Viktor Gyokeres and Alexander Isak up front as they look to challenge the favorites in a European showdown.