Experts Say Mojtaba Khamenei's Condition Is Mostly Symbolic Amid Iran's Strategic Patience

Dr. Tamar Ilam Gindin discussed the internal situation in Iran and the status of Mojtaba Khamenei, son of Iran's Supreme Leader, with Prof. Aryeh Eldad and Ron Kopman. She emphasized that the question of Mojtaba Khamenei's condition is primarily symbolic and declarative. Even if he is alive, she stated, he does not make decisions himself, as the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps restricts his public appearances to ensure his security.

Ilam Gindin noted that Iranians believe Israel and the United States are deterred by them, especially after recent security incidents where Israel did not respond with the expected force. This perception has given Iran a sense of capability and strength. She described Iran's approach as cautious and deliberate, aiming to buy time through negotiations, which she characterized as a form of struggle.

She further assessed that Iran is waiting to see the results of the U.S. midterm elections but understands that President Trump will remain in office for the next two years. Consequently, Iran is trying to delay progress until Trump leaves the White House. This strategic patience reflects Iran's broader geopolitical calculations amid ongoing tensions with Israel and the U.S.