JPPI Poll Shows Most Israelis Have Decided Votes as Right-Wing Support Grows Ahead of Elections

A recent JPPI poll reveals that 82% of Israelis are confident or fairly confident about their voting decisions ahead of the upcoming elections after the Jewish holidays. The data shows 53% are completely certain of their choice, 29% are fairly certain, 14% remain undecided, and 4% do not intend to vote. The highest uncertainty is concentrated in the political center, with 71% of left-wing voters and 58% of right-wing voters fully decided, while right-center and center voters show more indecision, indicating the election outcome will likely hinge on the center.

Among the Jewish public, right-wing identification has increased to 66% from 63% a year ago, with 13% identifying as centrist and 19% as left-wing. In the Arab sector, half identify as left-wing, alongside a decline in those who do not place themselves on the political spectrum. Regarding preferred coalition formations, no option commands a majority. The "Change Bloc" coalition including Arab parties leads with 27% support overall, while 42% of likely Likud voters favor a right-wing coalition that includes a centrist party.

Security is the top voting issue for 28% of respondents, followed by governance and the judicial system at 18%. Among right-wing voters, security and judicial reform are especially prominent, with 70% of those prioritizing judicial issues supporting a right-wing coalition. Prof. Yedidya Stern, president of JPPI, emphasized that most Israelis enter the elections with firm preferences, making the center bloc decisive. He noted the judiciary remains a key identity factor for the right-wing camp even after nearly three years dominated by security concerns. Stern called for forming a broad coalition post-election to establish political norms and boundaries through a "thin constitution" being developed by experts across Israeli society.