Ultra-Orthodox Win as Law Freezing Draft Arrests Advances Amid Netanyahu Loyalty Deal

The Israeli Knesset began debating overnight a law to freeze the arrest of draft dodgers, marking a significant victory for the ultra-Orthodox parties. The ultra-Orthodox factions insisted that this draft dodger arrest freeze law be prioritized before other coalition bills, a demand that was accepted. The final vote on the law is scheduled for 9:00 AM, despite warnings from the IDF Chief of Staff. Concurrently, the Knesset committee approved the controversial law weakening the media for its second and third readings, removing a clause that would have provided free content to users due to ultra-Orthodox opposition over Sabbath and adult content concerns.

Additionally, the Foreign Affairs and Defense Committee approved extending mandatory military service from 30 to 32 months, though the military had requested 36 months and considers the extension insufficient. The Knesset also passed the Basic Law on Torah Study in a rapid legislative session, with 63 votes in favor and 52 against; Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu was absent from this vote.

In exchange for advancing these laws important to the ultra-Orthodox parties, Netanyahu is seeking a loyalty declaration from them. This pledge would likely entail unequivocal support for Netanyahu during the upcoming elections, neutralizing any narratives about ultra-Orthodox leaders engaging with opposition figures. Netanyahu aims for the ultra-Orthodox parties to demonstrate loyalty through their campaign rhetoric and actions toward their voter base.

Senior Likud officials acknowledged the political cost of this legislation, stating, "We are paying heavy and unbearable public prices for this legislation." They emphasized the necessity of formalizing the coalition's unity in advance. The coalition agreement includes advancing laws weakening the Attorney General's role and the media, alongside the ultra-Orthodox priorities, with the ultra-Orthodox parties securing their demands to lead the legislative agenda.