A geopolitics and technology expert said on 103FM that Donald Trump’s push for an understanding with Tehran is tied less to Iran alone and more to a wider U.S.-China struggle, with economics at the center. In an interview with Amichai Attali and Gideon Oko, he argued that the war in Israel, Trump’s global trade offensive, and the fighting in Eastern Europe all connect to that larger contest.
The expert said strikes by Ukraine on Russian refinery facilities have reduced Russia’s ability to produce about 40% of its usual oil output, and that this oil is not reaching China and India. That, he said, complicates Washington’s strategy in the Strait of Hormuz and strengthens Iran’s hand. “Behind the scenes there is an aggressive economic show, but its essence is the United States and China war,” he said. He added that even the U.S.-Iran memorandum being discussed in Switzerland has a major financial component, saying, “Money plays a very significant role.”
He also cited comments from Secretary of State Marco Rubio and the CIA chief, saying they believe the Iran file should be closed specifically to allow the U.S. to focus on China. He criticized Washington and Israel for avoiding strikes on Iran’s refineries and core economic infrastructure, saying that approach was wrong because it let the regime keep strengthening the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps.
Still, he said lifting sanctions on Iran would not be easy. Some sanctions require a 180-day process and congressional approval, and France has already said it will not allow sanctions relief in the UN Security Council. “It is not a switch the American president can flip,” he said.