In a weekly Torah column on Parashat Chukat, Rabbi David Stav asks whether leaders should be judged by outcomes or by their conduct and decision-making. He opens with football, recalling how coaches can be dismissed after a single decisive moment, and with Napoleon, who reportedly preferred commanders who were lucky because he wanted results, not excuses.
The Torah, he argues, raises the same question in the story of Moses and Aaron at Kadesh in the 40th year in the wilderness. The people complain of thirst, Moses strikes the rock and water flows, but only after he says, "Shall we bring you water out of this rock?" God then tells Moses and Aaron, "Because you did not trust Me enough to sanctify Me in the sight of the Israelites, therefore you shall not bring this assembly into the land I have given them."
The punishment becomes one of the best known puzzles in biblical interpretation. Over the generations, more than 15 different explanations have been offered for Moses' offense, including that he struck the rock instead of speaking to it, or that he showed excessive anger. Stav says the deeper issue may be why the Torah does not spell out the precise sin, and instead leaves only the broad statement that Moses and Aaron failed to sanctify God before the people.
He concludes that the exact technical fault may matter less than the result. If the goal of the Exodus and the entry into the land was to show that God oversees human deeds and supports those who walk uprightly, then this moment failed to achieve that aim. The people did not reach the needed level of faith and sanctification, and a rare opportunity to demonstrate divine care in a harsh situation was lost.
Stav also notes Aaron's role: even if he did not personally commit a clear, direct sin, he was still part of the leadership chain and therefore shares responsibility. Moses and Aaron, who led Israel out of Egypt, guided it through nearly 40 years in the desert, and gave it the Torah, nonetheless fail this test and must make way for Joshua, passing him both leadership and full responsibility.