World09:12 · Jun 10

Warnings Abroad: The Rules of War Have Changed, and Israel Must Prepare Anew

Globes
Translated & summarized from Globes by baba
The story · English

Against the backdrop of an ever evolving security situation, the lens of the global media reveals unique perspectives on what is happening in Israel. From analyses by international experts, interpretations from a different angle, and small stories from Israel that slip under the radar, every day we bring you a brief daily roundup of what is being written in the world press about Israel, in an effort to decode how things here look from abroad. The articles presented in this section are taken from major newspapers around the world, and do not necessarily reflect Globes' worldview. ● Report: Israel struck one of Iran's important missile centers ● On the way to signing a security agreement, Turkey tried to disrupt senior officials' planes in Europe

1 The rules of war have changed, and Israel must prepare as well

The United States has used a large share of its missile stockpile and is far from victory against Iran, Russia failed over four years of prolonged war to subdue Ukraine, and Israel has still not managed to defeat Hamas in Gaza. It seems everyone is beginning to understand, the old rules of war have changed. That is the conclusion of an analysis by Yaroslav Trofimov, the Wall Street Journal's foreign affairs columnist.

"These developments have shown how technological progress, such as the use of drones and cheap precision missiles, has balanced the power relationship between small states and major powers that spend hundreds of billions of dollars on their armed forces," Trofimov wrote. In his view, wars continue as long as a nation has the resilience and will to resist: "Conquering a nation whose citizens are prepared to fight to the end is impossible even when there are gaps in power, as was the case between Russia and Ukraine, or even more so between the United States and Iran. The weak do not seem as weak as many believed. The strong also cannot really do what they want."

The veteran Wall Street Journal reporter concluded: "When a small country decides to defend itself resolutely, and develops the right tools, it challenges even superpowers. This is a change that Israel must also watch closely."

Wall Street Journal, by Yaroslav Trofimov. Read the full article.

2 How long can the Iranian regime keep fighting?

"When the United States and Israel launched an operation against Iran on February 28, 55% of Polymarket bettors believed the regime would collapse by the end of 2027. Now, 100 days later, only 13% hold that view," wrote ARAB NEWS, based in Saudi Arabia.

It said the Iranian economy has suffered a severe blow, the currency has collapsed, infrastructure has been damaged and inflation has risen. Even so, the Israeli American attempt to make it collapse from within simply failed. Caroline Rose, a senior director at the Soufan Center, a prominent American research institute focused on global security, explained to the news site: "History has shown that the Iranian regime displays deep resilience in the face of international sanctions, water shortages, infrastructure challenges and social unrest."

Additional analysts noted in the article that "Iran assesses that the longer the conflict continues, the greater the chance it will win more concessions from Trump, he is eager to resolve the conflict quickly. Pressure is mounting as congressional elections approach." Others noted that "Iran has lost the sympathy of its neighbors, a situation that over time will make it harder for it to maintain a diplomatic rear guard. Its major card, blocking the Strait of Hormuz, is temporary, over the course of decades, Gulf states will build export infrastructure that bypasses the strait entirely, and Iran will find itself without leverage."

ARAB NEWS, by Jonathan Gornall. Read the full article.

3 Al Jazeera assesses, "Trump and Netanyahu are driven by completely contradictory interests"

"Netanyahu once described Trump as the greatest friend Israel had ever had in the White House. But recently Trump called Netanyahu, in a phone call, completely crazy, accused him of sabotaging American diplomacy, and warned that Israel's military escalation was endangering the peace talks with Tehran," Al Jazeera, the Qatari media network, wrote.

According to Al Jazeera, the two leaders are now driven by completely contradictory interests: "Trump needs a deal before the congressional midterm elections in November, the war with Iran is unpopular in the United States, gas prices are soaring, and the Democrats smell blood. Netanyahu, on the other hand, is politically benefiting from the continuation of the fighting, polls indicate about 93% support among the Israeli public for the attack on Iran, elections are expected before the end of October, and his trial has already been going on for six years."

Jeremy Bowen, BBC foreign editor and one of the longest serving Middle East correspondents, reconstructed the moment the war broke out: "In the early hours of February 28, Trump spoke from Mar a Lago and told the Iranian people, 'your hour of freedom has arrived.' Netanyahu stood in the sun on the roof of the Defense Ministry in Tel Aviv and declared, 'this is what I promised, and this is how it will be done.' Both spoke as if victory were assured."

According to Bowen, "Trump and Netanyahu underestimated the resilience and sophistication of the Iranian regime. They believed that eliminating the Supreme Leader and his close aides would cause the regime to collapse from within." Now, he wrote, the two leaders are "wondering what went wrong," and Netanyahu, whom Trump ordered to cancel the attack on Beirut, appears "like a balloon emptied of air."

From Al Jazeera, by Caolán Magee. Read the full article. From BBC, Jeremy Bowen. Read the full article. The "technology home" model: How can a CIO deal with uncertainty? Note: The Globes editorial team strives for diverse, substantive, and respectful discourse in accordance with the ethical code set out in the trust report by which we operate. Expressions of violence, racism, incitement, or any other inappropriate discourse are automatically filtered and will not be published on the site.

Read the original at Globes
Open the live terminal