Spain Leads World Cup Quarterfinals With Top XG Rating Ahead of Belgium Clash

Spain is set to face Belgium in the 2026 World Cup quarterfinals on Friday, aiming to reach the semifinals for the first time since their 2010 championship win. The Spanish team, known as La Roja, boasts the highest expected goals (XG) metric among the eight remaining teams, with a notable +8.3 advantage, reflecting their dominance in creating quality scoring opportunities throughout the tournament. In contrast, Belgium ranks sixth with a +4.4 XG differential. Additionally, Spain has not conceded any goals so far, underscoring their defensive strength.

Coach Luis de la Fuente is contemplating changes to the starting lineup compared to the victory over Portugal, particularly in the right-back position where Pedro Porro and Marcos Llorente are competing for the spot. Midfielder Mikel Merino is also pushing for inclusion, but the coach is likely to maintain the core midfield trio of Rodri, Pedri, and Dani Olmo, with Mikel Oyarzabal leading the attack. Meanwhile, Belgium, encouraged by their impressive win against the United States, is expected to keep the same starting lineup. Coach Rudy Garcia is satisfied with his squad choices despite key players Jeremy Doku and Kevin De Bruyne being on the bench, and plans to continue with the same strategy in the quarterfinal.

The match will be a critical test for both teams, with Spain looking to capitalize on their statistical superiority and defensive record, while Belgium aims to cause an upset and advance further in the tournament.