Israeli Fans Accurately Predict World Cup Quarterfinalists but Overrate Brazil

As the 2026 FIFA World Cup reaches the quarterfinal stage, a large fan survey conducted by Direct Polls reveals that Israeli football fans largely predicted the tournament's strongest teams correctly, though they overestimated Brazil's chances. The eight remaining teams are France, Morocco, Spain, Belgium, Norway, England, Argentina, and Switzerland. Argentina leads as the favorite to win with 21% support, followed by Spain at 18%, France at 15%, and Brazil at 14%. However, Brazil has already been eliminated, while Argentina, Spain, and France remain contenders.

Argentina is not only the top favorite but also the most emotionally supported team among Israelis, with 26% hoping for their victory, ahead of Brazil (19%) and Portugal (13%), both of which have been knocked out. In the surprise category, Israelis expected the United States to cause an upset (21%), but the US was eliminated in the round of 16. Morocco (17%) and Norway (15%) remain in the quarterfinals, indicating Israeli fans correctly sensed the tournament's openness to less traditional powers.

Regarding VAR technology, 69% of respondents view it positively, believing it reduces refereeing errors or has potential for improvement, while only 10% think it ruins the game. Direct Polls CEO Tzuriel Sharon noted that Israelis accept VAR's presence but critique its application in crucial moments.

The survey also highlights the impact of current geopolitical tensions on fan sentiment: 65% of Israelis reported decreased support for some teams due to increased hostility toward Israel following the October 7 attacks and ongoing conflict. This shows the World Cup experience is influenced by external events beyond football.

Viewing habits have evolved during the tournament, with 31% watching nearly all matches, 45% focusing on key games, and 12% tuning in only for decisive stages. Additionally, 48% of Israelis still hope to see their national team qualify for a future World Cup, despite years of disappointment.

When it comes to match snacks, traditional choices prevail: 37% prefer sunflower seeds, 16% pizza, 5% shawarma, and 4% hamburgers. Sharon concluded that the survey reflects not only team preferences but also how Israelis uniquely experience the World Cup, blending global football with local emotions and traditions.