Dollar Dips to 3.00 Shekels as Global Markets Await US Jobs Data
The Israeli shekel strengthened against the dollar, with the dollar falling to 3.00 shekels, down from yesterday's representative rate of 3.025. The euro also declined, trading at 3.49 shekels compared to yesterday's 3.51. Globally, the dollar stabilized around 99.00 points after a sharp decline, as markets anticipate the release of U.S. employment data for August. Economists expect the U.S. to report an increase of 55,000 new jobs in August, a reversal from July's decrease of 23,000, with the unemployment rate projected to remain at 4.1%.
Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller indicated support for maintaining current interest rates, provided upcoming inflation data does not present surprises. This statement contributed to a decrease in the probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike at the next meeting, with futures traders now pricing in a 54.6% chance, down from 63.2% previously. Meanwhile, the Japanese yen is on track for its strongest weekly performance in over a month, with traders increasing bets on a Bank of Japan interest rate hike. The yen briefly touched 155.25 per dollar, nearing a recent high, before settling around 155.71. Analysts suggest this yen strength reflects a reassessment of the Bank of Japan's potential policy path.
Japanese currency diplomat Atsushi Mimura stated he remains vigilant about currency movements and is in constant contact with U.S. authorities, keeping markets alert to potential further intervention to support the yen. The dollar index held steady, while the euro and British pound saw minor fluctuations against the dollar. Attention is now shifting back to key U.S. economic releases, including the nonfarm payrolls report and next week's Consumer Price Index (CPI), ahead of the September FOMC meeting.
Geopolitical tensions in the Persian Gulf and their impact on inflation are also being monitored, with Brent crude oil prices remaining elevated above $95.52 per barrel following U.S. strikes in Iran. Investment strategists advise a focus on building stable, diversified, and risk-controlled portfolios, favoring currencies with attractive yields and strong fundamentals, such as the Norwegian krone and New Zealand dollar. They also recommend short-to-medium term government bonds for income generation and diversification, alongside liquidity-building instruments and a strategic allocation to gold as a hedge against currency depreciation and fiscal pressures.